sunday’s best bets - 10/04/26

WEEK 4 FANTASY FOOTBALL — BEST PLAYS FOR SUNDAY

TOP STARTS

Braelon Allen, RB, Jets

  • Breece Hall is out, putting Allen in line for lead-back volume.

  • Bears have allowed 4.8 yards per RB carry.

  • Start as a strong RB2 with RB1 upside.

Marcus Mariota, QB, Commanders

  • Jayden Daniels is out, making Mariota the starter.

  • Colts have allowed the third-most passing yards per game and generate very little pressure.

  • Strong QB streamer and superflex start.

Jacory Croskey-Merritt, RB, Commanders

  • Rachaad White is out.

  • Colts have allowed the most RB rushing yards before contact and the second-most RB rushing touchdowns.

  • Start as an RB2/flex, especially in standard or half-PPR.

Josh Downs, WR, Colts

  • Keenan Allen is out, opening up targets.

  • Washington has been very vulnerable to slot receivers.

  • Start as a WR2.

Tyler Warren, TE, Colts

  • Keenan Allen being out improves Warren’s target outlook.

  • Commanders have allowed the most fantasy points per opportunity to TEs.

  • Strong top-8 TE play.

Jameson Williams, WR, Lions

  • Carolina is without starting CBs Jaycee Horn and Mike Jackson.

  • Big-play upside in a favorable matchup.

  • Start over most fringe WR3/flex options.

Aaron Jones, RB, Vikings

  • Has averaged 20 carries and 81.5 rushing yards in the two games without Jordan Mason.

  • Miami has allowed the most fantasy points per game to RBs.

  • Strong RB1/RB2 start.

DJ Moore, WR, Bills

  • Active and coming off a 10-target game.

  • New England is without Christian Gonzalez and plays man coverage at a high rate.

  • High-end WR2.

D’Andre Swift, RB, Bears

  • Averaging 20.7 touches and 107 total yards per game.

  • Jets have been weak against the run.

  • Strong RB1/RB2.

Nico Collins, WR, Texans

  • Fully practiced Friday and is active.

  • Favorable matchup against Dallas.

  • Start everywhere.

Puka Nacua, WR, Rams

  • Expected to play despite the hip issue.

  • Start if active.

Jordan Addison, WR, Vikings

  • Justin Jefferson is out.

  • Major target and red-zone upside against Miami.

  • Strong WR2.

HIGH-UPSIDE FLEX PLAYS

Stefon Diggs, WR, Commanders

  • Colts have allowed the most yards per target to WRs.

  • Becomes even stronger if Terry McLaurin is out or limited.

  • WR2 with upside.

Luther Burden, WR, Bears

  • Strong target and red-zone role.

  • Best Bears pass-catching bet with Tyson Bagent likely starting.

  • Flex/WR3.

Kenyon Sadiq, TE, Jets

  • Mason Taylor and Adonai Mitchell are out.

  • Posted a 21.6% target share and 105 yards last week.

  • TE1 upside if active.

Darren Waller, TE, Panthers

  • Detroit has allowed 28 catches, 331 yards, and six TDs to tight ends.

  • Good streaming option if Carolina is thin at WR.

  • Low-end TE1/high-end TE2.

Michael Wilson, WR, Cardinals

  • 25.6% target share and 42.6% air-yards share.

  • Reliable WR2/flex against the Giants.

FADES / SITS

Justin Herbert, QB, Chargers

  • Seattle has allowed the fewest WR yards and only two WR touchdowns.

  • Lower-end QB1 or better options if available.

Ladd McConkey, WR, Chargers

  • Questionable with a foot injury.

  • Tough matchup against Seattle.

  • Sit if you have a comparable alternative.

Omarion Hampton, RB, Chargers

  • Seattle has allowed the fifth-fewest rushing yards and fantasy points to RBs.

  • Flex only if needed.

Khalil Shakir, WR, Bills

  • Buffalo targets are concentrating around DJ Moore and Dalton Kincaid.

  • Patriots have been difficult on slot receivers.

  • Sit in normal-sized leagues.

Alvin Kamara / Kendre Miller, RBs, Saints

  • Travis Etienne being out helps their workload, but Atlanta has allowed the fewest RB rushing yards and attempts.

  • Avoid unless volume forces you to start one.

Ollie Gordon / Jaylen Wright, RBs, Dolphins

  • De’Von Achane is out for the year, but the workload split is unclear.

  • Vikings have not allowed an RB rushing TD.

  • Avoid if possible.

Rome Odunze, WR, Bears

  • Backup-QB uncertainty and a difficult Jets matchup lower his floor.

  • Boom/bust flex only.

INJURY / INACTIVE NOTES

OUT

  • Jayden Daniels

  • Rachaad White

  • Breece Hall

  • Justin Jefferson

  • Keenan Allen

  • DeVonta Smith

  • Baker Mayfield

  • De’Von Achane

QUESTIONABLE / CHECK BEFORE KICKOFF

  • Zay Flowers

  • Ladd McConkey

  • Kenyon Sadiq

  • Mike Evans

  • Jalen Coker

FINAL QUICK CALLS

START: Braelon Allen, Aaron Jones, D’Andre Swift, Josh Downs, Jordan Addison, DJ Moore, Nico Collins, Jameson Williams, Tyler Warren.

STREAM: Marcus Mariota, Harold Fannin Jr., Darren Waller.

SIT/FADE: Justin Herbert, Omarion Hampton, Khalil Shakir, Dolphins RBs, Saints RBs, Rome Odunze.


Previous
Previous

Week 4 “Beat Scott” DFS Pick ‘Em - 10/4/2026

Next
Next

morning wood - daily NFL report - 10/04/26